#Trump has no cohesive #Ideology like the #Dictators of the pastThat is a convincing argument, but it's one that has hindsight as its aid. Suppose the historian had to decide what the cohesive ideology was as they were evaluating the aggregated news of the time as they first saw it instead of evaluating it many years after it happened.
Military officers had gathered and studied bullet holes in the aircraft that returned from missions. One early thought was that the planes should have more armor where they had been hit the most— fuselage, fuel system, the rest of the plane— but not on the engines, which had the smallest number of bullet holes per square foot.The commonality is using incomplete evidence and hindsight to determine truth/reality. Masha added more evidence.
Abraham Wald, a leading mathematician, disagreed. Working with the SRG (Statistics Research Group) in Manhattan, he asked an odd question: Where were the missing bullet holes— the ones that would be all over the engine if bullets were equally distributed?
They were on the missing planes, the ones that had been shot down. So the vulnerable place wasn’t where all the bullet holes were on the returning planes. It was where the bullet holes were on the planes that didn’t return.
Restricting your measurements to a final sample, excluding part of the sample that didn’t survive, creates what statisticians call “survivor bias.” It can cause you to come to conclusions that are entirely wrong.
This week, PJ looks into a theory circling the internet about who might be behind QAnon. The investigation takes him back to the beginning of the QAnon scam, and to the message board trolls who started it.gimletmedia.com
COVID-19 did the Republican's dirty work for them.
Adam Smith wrote:
"Consumption is the sole end and purpose of all production."Here's the gist of the content of the show before the quote:
In a creative act of dissent, a Palestinian artist makes a postage stamp symbolising freedom from Israeli occupation.www.aljazeera.com
Daniel J. Jones, former Senate investigator on the CIA torture program and Iraqi activist Raed Jarrar are this week’s guests.theintercept.com
This is the story about an ex-NSA agent who went to work for a secret hacking group in the UAE.darknetdiaries.com
Make sense of a disrupted world Your browser does not support playing this file but you can still download the MP3 file to play locally. A devastating missile and drone attack on Saudi oil installations last week highlighted the vulnerability of global oil supplies to the threat of regional unrest. The attack was claimed by Houthi rebels fighting ...www.ft.com
This is the online version of the Popular Information newsletter. You can get independent accountability journalism in your inbox every week. Sign up here: The "I Love America" Facebook page boasts 1.1 million fans, with viral content that reaches more Facebook users than some of the largest media outlets in the United States. A typical post is a celebration of the U.S. military and patriotism.popular.info
If you are on Twitter, you know that there is no one more deeply versed on the Russian mafia’s incursion into American business and politics than New York’s Olga Lautman, a freelance researcher and analyst who worked on Craig Unger’s House of Trump, House of Putin and on Malcolm Nance’s The Plot to Betray America, among other projects. Raised on Brighton Beach and fluent in Russian, Lautman was wise to the danger of Donald Trump from the start.gaslitnation.libsyn.com
August 19, 2019Play EpisodeBy the time the final dice were thrown, Trump's Atlantic City casino operations had gone bankrupt six times. Despite that, Trump won the long game.You can follow Spectacular Failures on Twitter and Facebook using @failureshow. We're @failure_show on Instagram. Follow Lauren Ober on Twitter and Instagram at @obera...www.spectacularfailures.org
As the spy gear piles up on my desk, my 10-year-old son asks me what my mission is. “I’m hiding,” I whisper, pointing in the direction I think is north, which is something I should probably know as a spy. “From Silicon Valley.”www.bloomberg.com
2020 probably won’t fix things much.slate.com
July 8, 2019Play EpisodeA family-owned business fights a billion-dollar, multinational company. And wins.You can follow Spectacular Failures on Twitter and Facebook using @failureshow. We're @failure_show on Instagram. Follow Lauren Ober on Twitter and Instagram at @oberandout.BizWiz Link:Building Relationships and Improving Opportunities!�...www.spectacularfailures.org
China is building a high-tech surveillance state to capture minorities' every move and word. We go inside it and find that some Americans are involved. Subscribe to our weekly newsletter npr.org/planetmoneynewsletterwww.npr.org
Gain a global perspective on the US and go beyond with curated news and analysis from 600 journalists in 50+ countries covering politics, business, innovation, trends and more...www.ft.com
Two thirds of active loans issued by Lendy are now overdue while the peer-to-peer lender has also resorted to asking the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) for help in a multi-million-pound contract dispute with a borrower.