social.outsourcedmath.com

Joerg Fliege diaspora
Looks like the DUP has been checkmated:
Brexit: UK and EU leaders hail ‘extraordinary’ deal on Northern Ireland protocol
The most interesting part of the press conference was probably what Rishi Sunak said about the deal including a “Stormont brake” allowing the Northern Ireland assembly to stop new EU single market rules from applying in the region. He said the agreement “safeguards sovereignty” for Northern Ireland as a result. It had been reported that the deal would give the Northern Ireland a right to be consulted on new single market rules; but this goes further, because the assembly would be able to block new rules applying in Northern Ireland.

This feature of the deal – assuming that Sunak has described it accurately, and that critics do not find a catch when they get to inspect the smallprint of the deal – will make it hard for the DUP to oppose the deal.

That is because, for the brake to apply, power sharing at Stormont would have to be restored. That would require the DUP to allow the assembly to start sitting (by backing the election of a Speaker) and to lift its boycott on participating in the power sharing executive. The DUP has said it will only do this if it gets a deal it finds acceptable. If the DUP were to contine to boycott the executive, the “Stormont brake” would not apply. And the alternative would not be no protocol; it would be Northern Ireland still being in the single market, but not having the veto as described by Sunak.

It is also worth pointing out that the “Stormont brake” is not a DUP veto on new single market rules. For Stormont to exercise this veto, there would almost certainly have to be cross-community support for such a move. That means Sinn Féin would have to want a veto too. Unlike the DUP, Sinn Féin is not ideologically opposed to Northern Ireland being subject to EU law. Its main political goal is for Irish reunification, which would probably involve Northern Ireland fully rejoining the EU.
Martin Seeger diaspora
At first glance, this is a very clever approach.

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